tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3133078502277941061.post784152898689740209..comments2023-07-18T08:00:22.009-05:00Comments on Steinblog: The Cookie Paradox Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3133078502277941061.post-50084577946188529302013-09-26T12:38:35.006-05:002013-09-26T12:38:35.006-05:00To solve the raven paradox, you have to first come...To solve the raven paradox, you have to first come to terms with the idea that the proposition "all ravens are black" is a prediction and not a reality. Science models reality as a plurality - what Steven Hawking calls "model-dependant reality". The notion that the number of non-black things in a plurality is endless ( cf. infinite ) is conceptually misplaced. Infinity is not a number but a negative idea co-opted by mathematics to symbolize numbers as they grow very large. Modeling reality as atoms, quarks or strings will always result as a finite number of components and differ only by the sheer number of zeros. So, imagine a plurality comprised of only twenty discreet elements and you discover that one of them is a white piece of chalk. Regardless whether in this plurality ravens even exist, you have reduced the number of unknowns from twenty to nineteen; thereby, actually confirming - by not contradicting - the prediction "all ravens are black".Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3133078502277941061.post-88485049813761974802013-09-24T22:36:25.899-05:002013-09-24T22:36:25.899-05:00There seems to be a proclivity for logical paradox...There seems to be a proclivity for logical paradoxes and a belief that scientific method (induction) aims at more than just predictability but reality. So, I suggest a treatment of confirmation: "The Raven Paradox" might, at the very least, entertain under this cloud of spirituality:<br /><br />All ravens are black.<br />All non-black things are non-ravens (logically equivalent contraposition).<br /><br />Most would tend to agree that discovery of a black raven confirms the proposition that "all ravens are black." Question: Does the discovery of a white piece of chalk, which seems to confirm the contraposed logical equivalent of "all ravens are black", do indeed confirm that "all ravens are black?"<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3133078502277941061.post-89710347877237410332013-09-24T00:15:31.351-05:002013-09-24T00:15:31.351-05:00Okay, I'll bite. And FCOL, leave the - it m...Okay, I'll bite. And FCOL, leave the - it means we're supposed to share a laugh. If you don't eat the last cookie, your attention is focused on yourself and how you might be perceived. This is unhealthy at best, self-consumed (no pun intended) at worst. Eat the damn last cookie. It will go a long way to correcting the same sanctimonious sensiblities of your peers.<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com